About self-prophecies and gut feelings...
I have always considered this model as one of the most reliable existing. It is clear that everyone seeks to anticipate and simulate the future in one way or another but to date, this is the one that has been adjusting the most to the behavior of BITCOIN.
However, each of the bullish macrocycles of BITCOIN have shown a particular nature and what happens in the past does not always have to be repeated in the future in the same way.
